Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 11.895744 13.377651 15.052123 17.101014 19.563497 22.457737 26.162094
2025-04-06 9.544244 11.296120 13.428646 16.265598 20.020126 24.940034 32.093193
2025-04-13 8.211485 10.035110 12.363083 15.636864 20.268949 26.840022 37.387541
2025-04-20 8.043248 10.164339 13.012305 17.268791 23.767524 33.901295 52.339312
2025-04-27 7.575010 9.808752 12.921855 17.794940 25.694549 39.011078 66.055667
2025-05-04 6.882371 9.055966 12.161257 17.177296 25.655663 40.775209 74.158191
2025-05-11 6.572247 8.809686 12.099902 17.616787 27.428102 46.207499 92.519330
2025-05-18 6.149639 8.355257 11.668262 17.380568 27.942436 49.321412 107.135930
2025-05-25 5.788721 7.960778 11.286562 17.169500 28.449695 52.544166 124.054971
2025-06-01 5.502203 7.655683 11.014982 17.108661 29.226693 56.586092 146.405002
2025-06-08 5.173056 7.259922 10.560506 16.661673 29.136261 58.547351 163.423723
2025-06-15 4.963495 7.037790 10.373258 16.681736 30.029723 63.272214 195.585453
2025-06-22 4.638302 6.622198 9.848102 16.045250 29.471853 64.232383 214.379862
2025-06-29 4.319651 6.200308 9.285005 15.283760 28.526652 63.900977 227.549075
2025-07-06 4.059714 5.859661 8.838811 14.707092 27.922085 64.431878 246.804810
2025-07-13 4.139901 6.083320 9.395776 16.201984 32.589822 83.530090 425.368595
2025-07-20 4.062564 6.035302 9.459092 16.682867 34.843444 95.995268 612.137278
2025-07-27 3.851379 5.746013 9.057627 16.118307 34.179399 97.041401 685.356137
2025-08-03 3.779865 5.694051 9.094195 16.520099 36.298647 110.818629 1026.473882
2025-08-10 3.637408 5.510036 8.867542 16.304188 36.592884 116.849661 1306.850456
2025-08-17 3.507461 5.341691 8.660074 16.111177 36.925156 123.402466 1704.001292
2025-08-24 3.401715 5.211241 8.517624 16.055527 37.680094 132.780400 2416.420267
2025-08-31 3.263658 5.016597 8.237879 15.646451 37.232428 135.437638 2964.722181